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LED suppliers quote figures like 20,000 h or 30,000 h. Those numbers are useful, but only if you know what they mean in practice.
LED lifetime is normally quoted as L70 (or L80): the hours of operation at which output has dropped to 70% (or 80%) of the initial value. It is not a sudden failure point — the lamp keeps working, just dimmer, and the number assumes controlled junction temperature and rated drive current.
You will not get a warning light. What you will see is a slow creep: line speed has to come down a little, or cure needs a second pass, or the surface stays slightly tacky at the same settings. That slow drift is the real signal — which is why logging irradiance at scheduled intervals is more useful than counting hours.
For our water-cooled industrial heads in continuous duty, 20,000–30,000 h to 70% output is a realistic range. Bench and intermittent use lasts considerably longer. Either way, budget for a head replacement roughly every three to five years in multi-shift production — and keep a measurement record so you replace it on evidence rather than on a calendar.
